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Shanghai copper prices to soar as stock withdrawals continue

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's (ShFE) copper inventories declined this week. This is the second consecutive week that there were double-digit withdrawals. Traders say it could lead to a spike in imports and prices.

Copper inventories in the ShFE On Wednesday, the number of 89,307 metric tons fell by 27,446 tonnes, or 23.5%, from Friday. The 32% drop in the previous week was the biggest percentage decline ever.

Four traders said they expected withdrawals to raise prices for ShFE Copper, a critical metal for China's vast industrial sector. They also expect more metal to be brought into the exchange warehouses. This will make a complete depletion of stock unlikely.

Yangshan copper premium is already tightening up. It is a measure of China's appetite to import copper. The price of copper per ton was $94 on Tuesday. This is the highest level since December 2023, and an increase of more than 40% from January 2.

Copper inventories in the ShFE Last week, the number of tons dropped by 32% as local buyers began to take delivery of metals purchased earlier in the month during a period of low prices.

A trader had predicted that ShFE copper stock could drop another 10,000 tons, before the release of storage stocks on Wednesday. This was two days earlier than normal because China is celebrating public holidays from May 1 through May 5.

Copper was diverted to the U.S. by traders in response to the threat of tariffs against U.S. imports. This led to a decline in ShFE stock and a rise in COMEX prices.

COMEX stock grew to 137 759 tons of metric tons. On Tuesday, the stock market was up 45% from January 2, and their highest level since December 2018.

The U.S.-China Trade War has reduced the supply of scrap metals from the United States, and consumers in China are having difficulty securing supplies on a market that is already very tight. (Reporting and editing by Violet Li, Lewis Jackson and Freya Whiworth)

(source: Reuters)