Latest News
-
The Indian Rupee-Trimmed Fed Rate Cut Bets Pull Forward Premiums Off One-Month Peak
The Indian rupee, and the dollar-rupee premiums fell from their one-month highs on Friday. A stronger-than-expected U.S. employment report reduced bets on Federal Reserve rate reductions. Traders were also watching a looming U.S. trade deadline. The rupee fell to 85.50 near the start of trading after hitting a peak for one month on Thursday. It then pared losses and quoted at 85.33, little changed. The rupee was helped by a drop in the dollar index after a previous rise. Asian currencies were mostly in choppy territory. The implied yield on the dollar-rupee 1-year note fell by 5 basis points, to 2.02%. Traders noted that the near forward premiums may also be under downward pressure, as the central bank has not increased the amount of liquidity they intend to withdraw from banks. Many market participants were surprised by this, as they had anticipated a higher quantum due to an increased surplus. The U.S. employment data caused traders to almost wipe out bets on a Fed cut in July. Odds of a cut in September dropped to less than 75%, from nearly 94% prior to the data. The market is waiting for tariff news, said a Mumbai-based trader. He was referring to a deadline of July 9 for countries to reach trade agreements with the U.S. Bloomberg Television reported that the U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent predicted a "flurry of" trade agreements to be announced before the deadline. DBS stated in a report that it is possible to reduce the umbrella tariff on India from the current 10% to a baseline rate of 10% by taking cues and agreements with other countries. As part of the "Liberation Day", reciprocal tariffs on April 2, U.S. president Donald Trump threatened to impose a duty of 26% on Indian goods. This was temporarily reduced to 10% in order to buy more time for negotiations. (Reporting and editing by Jaspreet K. Kalra)
-
Air France-KLM acquires majority stake in SAS
Air France-KLM announced on Friday that it intends to increase its stake of Scandinavian airline SAS from 19.9% to 60.5% by acquiring stakes currently held by Castlelake and Lind Invest, the top shareholders. It said that the purchase is subject to receiving the necessary regulatory approvals and should close in the second quarter of 2026. The company said that the value of the investment will be determined by closing, and will be based on SAS’s most recent financial performance including EBITDA, net debt, and other factors. Air France-KLM's CEO Ben Smith said in March that his company is looking to increase its stake in SAS as the airline was meeting all the required milestones. This included integration into SkyTeam, an alliance of airlines which Air France KLM also belongs. Since summer 2024, the two carriers have had a successful commercial relationship. Air France-KLM said that a control of SAS would enable it to expand on the Scandinavian market, and create value for its shareholders. Smith said that "SAS has performed well following their successful restructuring and we're confident the airline will continue to grow as it is integrated deeper into the Air France-KLM Group." Executives are looking to consolidate the fragmented European airline industry in order to compete against U.S. and Middle Eastern competitors. SAS had 138 aircraft on service last year and transported more than 25 millions passengers, generating revenues in excess of 4.1 billion euro. The group will have the majority of the seats in the SAS board, while the Danish government retains its 26,4% stake and its seat on the board. (Reporting and Editing by Marguerita Chy)
-
Air shipments from China to the US are disrupted by the end of the tax-free loophole.
Trade groups and analysts reported that the volume of air cargo shipments from Asia has decreased by double-digits since early May when the U.S. canceled a tax exemption for low value packages coming from China. Data from the International Air Transport Association showed that air cargo demand from Asia into North America fell 10.7% in May, compared to the same month one year ago. This "shows the dampening effects of changing U.S. Trade Policies," said IATA Director-General Willie Walsh in a Monday report. Tax exemptions for shipments under $800, often sent via air to U.S. clients of low-cost online platforms like Shein and PDD Temu, are known as de minimis or "too small to matter". After a trade agreement between the U.S., China and China in mid-May, however, these shipments from China and Hong Kong are taxed as low as 30 percent. The two sides continue to negotiate trade. This week, the U.S. relaxed export restrictions to China on software, ethane, and aerospace, in advance of the U.S. reimposing a wide range of tariffs that will target multiple countries on July 9. Industry experts reported that the volume of low value e-commerce shipping from China to America in May was particularly sharply down. Air cargo consultancy Aevean estimates that such shipments decreased by 43% from the previous month in May, but increased to other major export markets, including Europe and South-East Asia. Marco Bloemen said that it is unclear whether the dramatic drop will continue. Businesses had expected the de minimis stop and the tariff rate has been lowered in the middle of the month. Will those ecommerce players return to the U.S., now that they pay 30% duty instead of zero duty? Bloemen stated. He said that companies turning to other markets because of the uncertainty surrounding U.S. Trade Policy is likely to have a negative impact on shipment volumes. "We expect that trend to continue. More e-commerce to Europe is expected to take place in June, as well as to other markets such Latin America." Air cargo consultancy Rotate stated that e-commerce platforms are focusing on alternative markets to replace the lost U.S. market, with significant growth in exports to Europe and Asia-Pacific. Shein and PDD didn't immediately respond to requests for comment. CARGO CUTBACKS As a result, the cargo business of airlines has seen a boost as low-value ecommerce from Asia is taking a larger share of air freight worldwide. Aevean data shows that in 2018, only 5% of the goods from China were shipped to the U.S. via air. Industry experts say that as demand for trans-Pacific freighter flights fell in May due to the decline of Asia-to-U.S. routes, airlines began moving them elsewhere. They said that some of this demand is now returning as companies are taking advantage of tariff pauses in the U.S.-a number of other countries. However, flight frequencies have been reduced. Cirrus Global advisors, an e-commerce consulting firm, said that some of the bigger players who were chartering 3 flights per week had reduced this to 2. Rotate data revealed that direct freighter capacity between China & the U.S. was 11% less in June compared to the previous month, erasing the growth of capacity in the last year. Dimerco Express, a freight forwarder specializing in Asia, estimated that its online bookings fell by 50% between May and June. In a recent report, the company said that scheduled freighter flights are still being cancelled. The de minimis regulation, which dates back to 1938, was criticized by American legislators as a loophole allowing Chinese products to avoid U.S. tariffs, and allowing illegal drugs and precursors used to create opioid fentanyl, to enter the U.S. without being screened.
-
Petroecuador, the state oil company of Ecuador, declares force majeure in its operations
The head of Ecuador's state oil company Petroecuador announced on Thursday that all operations, including crude imports, were suspended after two pipelines important to the company's operation stopped pumping. Heavy rains in Napo, a province of the Amazonian region, have accelerated erosion and threatened infrastructure. The SOTE and OCP pipelines owned by the state suspended pumping this week. Leonard Bruns, Petroecuador's chief executive officer, said: "Force majeure was declared to allow (Petroecuador), to act with all of the necessary tools." Due to the suspension of transport operations, the company said that it has also begun closing down oil wells. According to a report released on Thursday by Ecuador's Hydrocarbons Regulating and Control Agency, the country's crude oil production has fallen about 133,000 barrels per daily (bpd). Since 2020, erosion along the Coca River has spread, damaging oil infrastructure, roads, and now the Coca Codo sinclair hydroelectric facility, the largest one in Ecuador. The authorities said that temporary bypasses on both pipelines are being constructed to resume operation, and studies have been approved for permanent rerouting in order to avoid the affected area. (Reporting and writing by Alexandra Valencia, Editing by Brendan O'Boyle & Kylie Madry; Writing by Natalia Siniawski)
-
Source: US allows GE to restart jet engine shipments from China's COMAC
According to a source familiar with the situation, the U.S. informed GE Aerospace that it could restart jet engine shipments from China to COMAC on Thursday. This is a sign that U.S. and Sino trade tensions are easing, as Beijing has made concessions over rare earths. This week, the United States also lifted export restrictions to China on chip design software developers as well as ethane manufacturers. This suggests that trade negotiations between China and the United States are progressing. As part of the ongoing global trade war, the two largest economies have issued new licensing requirements and license suspensions on different exports. GE and the Commerce Department did not respond to a request for comment sent via email. The licenses granted to GE Aerospace concern engines sold to China’s state-owned aerospace company COMAC. COMAC wants to compete with dominant plane makers Airbus & Boeing. A spokesperson from the Chinese Embassy in Washington didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. These restrictions were one of many countermeasures taken by the U.S. administration under President Donald Trump in response to China’s April export restrictions on rare Earths and magnets. Beijing's action on rare earths as a retaliation to Trump's tariffs earlier this year has upset supply chains that are important for automakers, aerospace companies, semiconductor companies, and military contractors. This issue threatened to derail a bilateral deal. According to a person familiar with the matter, who declined identification because they weren't authorized to speak in public, the license suspensions lifted by GE concern LEAP-1C engines for COMAC C919 single aisle aircraft and GE's CF34 engines for COMAC C909 regional aircraft. The LEAP 1C engines are a product of GE Aerospace's joint venture with France's Safran. C919 is manufactured in China, but many of the components are imported. According to a person who refused to name the company, at least one other aeronautical company had their license suspensions lifted for China on Thursday. Honeywell Aerospace also supplied COMAC’s C919 with an auxiliary power unit, wheels and brakes as well as a flight control package and navigation package. Honeywell has not responded to a request for a comment. Collins Aerospace is a subsidiary company of RTX that also supplies COMAC with components. Collins Aerospace declined to comment about the license status. The U.S. has also suspended the licenses of nuclear equipment suppliers who sell to China. Westinghouse, Emerson and other U.S. suppliers of nuclear equipment are among them. Reporting by Karen Freifeld, New York; editing by Bill Berkrot Chris Sanders and Daniel Wallis
-
US lifts license restrictions on GE jet engines for China's COMAC
According to a source familiar with the situation, the U.S. Department of Commerce notified GE Aerospace that it could once again ship jet engines to China’s COMAC. This lifted license suspensions issued a few weeks ago. GE and the Commerce Department did not reply to a request for comments sent via email. License suspensions are just one of many new restrictions that have been imposed in recent weeks on U.S. imports to China, as the trade conflict between the two largest economies has moved beyond retaliatory duties to disrupting the supply chains. This week, restrictions were also lifted on other sectors including chip design software, ethane and others, as a sign that trade tensions are further easing. The licenses granted to GE Aerospace concern engines developed by China's state owned aerospace manufacturer COMAC. COMAC is competing with Boeing and Airbus in the development of commercial aircraft. According to a person familiar with the matter, who declined identification because they weren't authorized to speak in public, COMAC will receive Leap-1C engine licenses for its C919 single aisle aircraft and GE's CF34 engines for COMAC C909 regional jets. The LEAP 1C engines are a product of GE Aerospace's joint venture with France's Safran. C919 is manufactured in China, but many of the components are imported. It was not possible to determine immediately which other aerospace firms may have been affected. Bill Berkrot, Bill Freifeld and Karen Freifeld reported from New York.
-
Netanyahu visits Israeli kibbutzs ravaged by Hamas on his first visit
Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's Prime Minister, visited the Nir Oz Kibbutz in Israel near the Gaza Strip for the first since Hamas militants crossed the border nearly 21 months ago and killed or abducted nearly one out of four residents. Netanyahu and his wife Sara faced criticism over the government's inability to prevent the attack and massive protests calling for the return of the hostages still being held in Gaza. They were met by loud protests, hugs and deep concern. "I am deeply committed to ensuring the safe return of all our hostages. Netanyahu said that there were still 20 hostages alive, as well as those who had died. We will bring them back all. He promised to rebuild the kibbutz after he toured its devastation. Netanyahu will meet Donald Trump on Monday at the White House. They will discuss a U.S. backed proposal for a ceasefire of 60 days in the Gaza War between Israel and Hamas, which would include the release of hostages. The raid by militant Palestinian gunmen on Israel on October 7, 2023 was the deadliest Jewish attack since the Holocaust of World War Two. The gunmen crossed over the Gaza border and attacked Nir Oz as well as other targets. Hamas fighters took 251 hostages and killed 1,200 people in Gaza that day, according to Israeli statistics. Einav Zangauker's son Matan, who was held hostage in Gaza and believed to still be alive, had accused Netanyahu previously of choosing his political survival above ending the war. She hugged him on Thursday. She wrote on X later that she and X had discussed her concern about her son's worsening dystrophy. "I told him that the people of Israel have given him a mandate to come to a comprehensive agreement on the return of the 50 hostages - both the living and dead. "Now is the time to act," she wrote. Gaza's health ministry reports that Israel's military offensive has killed over 57,000 Palestinians since its inception. It also says the assault has displaced more than 2,000,000 people from the area, caused widespread hunger, and left much of it in ruin. (Writing and editing by David Gregorio; Howard Goller)
-
For retailers, US-Vietnam trade deal leaves questions
Industry experts on Thursday said that the U.S.-Vietnam trade agreement raises questions for retailers of sportswear and apparel like Nike and Adidas who source their shoes and clothing from factories in Southeast Asia. Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that the U.S. would impose a tariff of 20% on many imports coming from Vietnam. "Transshipping" goods from other countries via Vietnam will be subject to a 40% tax. The garment and shoe industries in Vietnam are heavily dependent on imported yarns, fabrics like polyester, and trims such as buttons and zippers from China. It wasn't immediately clear if such products made in Vietnam with Chinese inputs were subject to the transshipment tax. Transshipment is a term used to describe a product that was primarily made in China and shipped to Vietnam, before being re-labeled and exported under the Vietnam label. In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent said that "a large amount" of the trade coming from Vietnam was transshipment. Sheng Lu is a professor of fashion and clothing studies at the University of Delaware. Lu said that "strictly speaking, transshipment was illegal. However, using foreign components to comply with the rules of origin is a common practice." "Misconducting these two practices will only increase uncertainty and create further supply chain disruption." Vietnam is a popular destination for brands and retailers looking to reduce their dependence on factories in China. However, it has become the target of Trump’s aggressive trade policies. Vietnam is the largest supplier of Adidas products, with 27%, and a major producer of Nike sports shoes. Nike's spokesperson confirmed that the company was still investigating the details of the agreement. Adidas declined to comment. "This new change, and the possibility of this transshipment tax, will cause many importers to seriously question whether Vietnam is a viable alternative." Lila Landis is a customs compliance specialist based in Fort Worth. Landis said that while details have not been confirmed, it is possible for the 40% tariff to be added on top of the China duty applicable to any particular product. This would make the penalty extremely punitive. According to Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America, which called the tariffs unjustified and said that they would hurt American consumers, the U.S. imported more than 274 million pairs of footwear from Vietnam in the past year. Joe Jurken is the managing director of The ABC Group, a supply chain management firm. He said that there was disappointment with the 20% figure for Vietnam. Jurken stated that the announced tariff on Vietnam will help to close the gap between the U.S. and China. The U.S. tariffs are 55% and this may encourage some brands, rather than switching suppliers, which can be costly and time-consuming, to stay with China. Jurken stated that "there is a shortage of capacity in Vietnam due to the lack of factories and an abundance of capacity in China... So, we believe, the Chinese factories will benefit in the short-term." Raymond James analysts say that the 20 percent tariff is still better than the 25-30% tariff rate that the market had feared. The deal announcement could help retailers who were considering Vietnam place orders. Jim Kennemer is the managing director of Cosmo Sourcing. He said that it would be "nearly impossible" to have a supply chain made up of 100% non-Chinese products.
Bessent: Trump's tariff threat could ignite a fire in the EU during trade negotiations
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on Friday that Donald Trump believes that the European Union’s trade offers are not of high enough quality. He hopes that a 50% tariff threat by June 1 will "light up the EU" during negotiations with Washington.
Bessent said to Fox News Channel, that other major U.S. trading partner are in good faith negotiating with the EU.
Trump intensified his trade war on Friday, saying he "recommended" a tariff of 50% on EU goods beginning on June 1. Trump warned Apple he could impose a tariff of 25% on any iPhones made outside the U.S.
Bessent made the shocking announcement a day after he concluded meetings with G7 finance leaders including Valdis Dombrovskis, Executive Vice President of the European Commission. The G7 Ministers Meeting in Banff Alberta
Papering over deep divisions
On Trump's tariffs, reach agreement on the efforts to reduce "excessive balances" in global economy.
The conversation in
Canada
The problem was the lead-up to that," Bessent said. Bessent: "The problem was in the lead-up to that."
He told Fox News other countries had made good-faith trade offers and that some talks had been advanced with them.
Some Asian countries have come up with "very interesting" proposals.
Bessent stated, "I believe that the president feels that the EU's proposals are not of the same standard as those we have seen from other important trading partners."
He stated that he is getting feedback from certain EU countries that they do not know about the proposals coming from Brussels by the European Commission.
Bessent stated, "I won't be negotiating on television but I hope this will ignite a fire in the EU." "The EU is having a problem with collective action." This group represents 27 countries in Brussels.
Bessent stated that Trump was interested in bringing precision manufacturing, including semiconductors, back to the United States.
"I believe that this external production is one of our biggest vulnerabilities, especially in semiconductors. Bessent added that a significant portion of Apple's components is in semiconductors. We would like Apple to help us secure the semiconductor supply chain.
(source: Reuters)