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Iran conflict threatens Gulf Tourism, threatening years of investment

?Middle East tourism, worth some $367 billion annually to the region, is taking a hit from the widening conflict ?between U.S.-Israel forces and Iran, putting at risk the region's carefully-constructed image as a safe and high-end vacation hotspot after billions in investment ?in recent years from Abu Dhabi to Dubai. The'major hubs', such as Dubai, the largest international airport in the world, were largely grounded, leaving tens and thousands of passengers stranded. This is the worst air travel crisis since the COVID-19 Pandemic. Airport and the iconic Burj Al-Arab hotel were also damaged, alarming tourists from around the world who spent $194 billion on tourism in the region.

AirDNA, a data firm, reports that cancellations for vacation rentals in United Arab Emirates have more than doubled to 8,450 units since the initial attacks. The majority of cancellations were for stays planned in March.

Michael O'Leary said on Tuesday that bookings for flights to the Middle East had plummeted. He added that the fallout was driving a spike in demand for short haul flights to destinations like Portugal, Italy, and Greece in advance of Easter. He emphasized that the Middle East had historically recovered from periods of regional instability.

"I don't think it will last long, and I doubt it'll have any long-term effects. But there's no question that it has undermined confidence in air travel into the Gulf."

Dubai's Tourism Office said in a Tuesday statement that visitor safety is its top priority, and hotels have been asked to provide support for affected guests. Citing the city's previous experience with "periods?of global disruption", they cited their ability to manage such situations.

Potential $56 BILLION HIT

Tourism Economics estimates that between 23 and 38 millions fewer people will travel to the Middle East in 2018 than expected, depending on how long the conflict lasts.

Helen McDermott, a consultant at the consultancy, and Jessie Smith, a travel agent who works in the region for TUI said that the loss of visitor spending could be between $34 billion and $56 billion. Benjamin Jacobi, Germany's head of travel giant TUI which operates flights and cruises to the region said that bookers are hoping for a calmer situation, but "that is not in sight at the moment". As people booked trips around Middle Eastern hubs that closed, prices for flights between Asia to Europe increased.

There will be a drop in demand. This depends on the outcome of this conflict," he said in Berlin. He added that his firm had noticed a "certain change" in vacationers' preferences towards the western Mediterranean. "Everything at the moment is volatile."

KEEPING CALM After the conflict broke out, thousands of people rushed to leave the area. The U.S. told Americans to leave on Monday, just days after the initial?strikes against Iranian targets.

Ambra Chessa was in Dubai when she boarded a charter flight to Italy that wasn't scheduled. She said that as soon as she arrived at the airport they told her to "get on board immediately because you are leaving in one hour".

Some people, on the other hand, enjoyed their trip and said that they would return to the area despite the dangers.

Ingrid Oellers, a passenger on a cruise to Doha, Qatar, saw helicopters and military aircraft circling the city.

She said that the scene was eerie, but she also said it was "pretty standard" on board the ship. "Many are still scared, they're worried, and I'm too." No one is reacting excessively. "Everyone is calm."

David, a 42-year-old British IT worker, was traveling with his wife and two kids on a cruise to Dubai. He said that the situation felt surreal rather than scary.

According to a video, people on board were still relaxing and dancing congas in their bathing suit along the deck of the boat.

He said, "It is my first visit to Dubai but I do not feel unsafe." "I don’t think that would deter me." "Well, for the moment, it would not."

(source: Reuters)