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The US-Israeli War on Iran has disrupted global business

The U.S. and Israeli war against Iran has rattled businesses around the world, driving up energy costs, squeezing the supply of vital raw materials, and raising concerns about the reliability of the trade routes that are critical to the flow from goods such as food to car parts.

Here are the major disruptions that have occurred so far:

TRAVEL CHAOS

Tens of thousands flight cancellations have been reported worldwide. Schedule changes and reroutings are also common. The Middle East has had its airspace closed due to threats from drones and missiles.

The global aviation industry is experiencing its worst disruptions since the pandemic. Hubs like Dubai International Airport - the busiest airport in the world for international passengers - are being hit, as well as alternative transit points.

Some travellers are boarding private jets to fly out of the Gulf. Others have taken a?long taxi drive across the desert into Saudi Arabia in order to catch a flight home. Air cargo that is time-sensitive has also been affected. From fresh produce to planes, shipments have been delayed due to the conflict.

Airline Tickets

Global airlines have raised the alarm about soaring jet-fuel prices. They warned of additional costs of hundreds of millions, increased fares, and even cuts to certain routes.

EasyJet, a discount airline, expects ticket costs to increase towards the end the summer. Bloomberg News reports that United Airlines may raise fares by up to 20% in response to the oil price surge.

Since the beginning of the war, jet fuel prices, which are the second largest expense for airlines after labour, has doubled, increasing the pressure on carriers.

Airlines that have hedged against oil price spikes are now announcing fare increases, fuel surcharges, and capacity reductions as they struggle with the unprecedented increase in refinery margins.

Indian airlines have suffered another blow due to the Middle East airspace restrictions. Since Pakistan banned Indian carriers last year, the Indian airlines counted the Middle East as a "crucial corridor" for flights to Europe or the U.S.

India announced that it would remove the temporary fare caps on domestic tickets it imposed in December. The report cited a government directive.

Lufthansa, Germany's largest airline, expects that the Iran War will weaken the dominance on Asian routes of Gulf carriers like Emirates and Qatar Airways.

CRUISE

As fuel prices rise, cruise operators prepare for rougher seas.

Analysts warn that Carnival Corp's 2026 earnings could be hit the hardest as it is the only major U.S. Cruise Line not to hedge its fuel costs.

DUBAI IMPACT

The conflict has harmed the carefully constructed image of the Middle East as a high-end, safe vacation destination. The tourism industry in the Middle East is valued at $367 billion per year.

The report also revealed how global air travel is heavily reliant on a few hubs, led by Dubai.

Many stores in Dubai and other Middle Eastern shopping centers were closed or operated with a skeleton crew.

DEFENSE INDUSTRY

The United States has deployed advanced weapons against Iranian targets including stealth fighters and low-cost, one-way attack robots for the first combat time.

During the attack, the Pentagon used artificial intelligence tools from Anthropic including its 'Claude' tools.

The Pentagon signed framework agreements on March 25 with Lockheed Martin, Honeywell and BAE Systems in the UK to increase production of defense systems.

CRITICAL METALS AND RAW MATERIALS

Metals and energy flow are affected by disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Aluminium producers have stopped shipments in the Gulf, declared force majeure or rerouted their exports. This has sent prices and premiums soaring.

Around 8% of the global supply of aluminium comes from the Gulf region.

The helium price has risen after the Iran War disrupted the natural gas processing in Qatar. This exposes the vulnerability of this small but essential market, which supports industries ranging from semiconductor manufacturing and medical imaging.

Nickel producers in Indonesia who depend on Middle East sulphur for their production could face output reductions.

Due to supply chain issues, chemical firms Celanese Dow and Ecolab raised prices on some products.

The Iranian attacks also affected 17% of Qatar’s natural gas export capacity. This poses a threat to supplies in Europe and Asia.

Globally, policymakers are forced to rethink how to reduce their long-term dependency on oil and natural gas imports. The increasing?price for gasoline due to the Iran War could encourage consumers to buy EVs or hybrids.

Brewers have warned about shortages in India as well. A shortage of gas caused by the war with Iran has driven up the price of glass bottles, and delays in shipping have affected the import of aluminium required by can makers.

MEDICINE

The war in the Middle East is disrupting the flow of critical medicines into the Gulf, threatening supply lines for cancer therapies and other temperature-sensitive ?drugs and forcing companies to reroute flights and secure overland alternatives into the region.

The executives told us that there is currently little sign of shortages but that this could change if conflict continues.

FOOD, FAST MUSIC AND LUXURY

As reported in earlier March, some shipments of major clothing retailers'?garments were stuck at airports in India and Bangladesh due to the impact of conflict on flights.

South Asia is the clothing manufacturing capital of the world. Fast fashion brands from around rely on Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan to supply them with new T-shirts and dresses.

Richemont, Zegna and other luxury groups are also under pressure from the crisis.

Restaurants and hotels in India have warned of possible disruptions due to a shortage of cooking gas, and households are rushing to purchase electric induction stoves.

Some manufacturers in India are also increasing prices for distributors.

Samyang Foods, a South Korean company, and other snack, cosmetics and toys makers in Asia have warned of a shortage of packaging material and rising costs due to the high energy prices and shortfall of naphtha.

DATA CENTRES AND CHIPS

South Korean officials warned that a long-term conflict could disrupt the supply of materials for semiconductor manufacturing? from the Middle East. Helium is one such material, and it's essential to chip production.

Drone strikes in the UAE and Bahrain damaged data centres owned by Amazon. This raised questions about technology supply chains, and the pace of Big Tech expansion in the Middle East.

Citigroup and Standard Chartered told Dubai staff that they could work from home. This was reported by sources as the banks responded to Iranian threats made against Gulf banking interests linked to the U.S.

Citigroup has closed most of its branches and offices across the UAE until further notice.

According to a notice sent to customers, HSBC closed all of its branches in Qatar and the UAE until further notice.

The Financial Times, citing a reliable source, reported that the U.S. hedge-fund manager Millennium Management was considering relocating employees who don't want to return back to Dubai to Jersey. (Reporting and editing by buros, Josephine Mason, Shinjini Ganuli, Shreya biswas, Tasimzahid, Bernadettebaum)

(source: Reuters)