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China's LNG consumption is being slowed by WGC-Increased gas production and pipeline supplies

China's increasing natural gas production and pipeline supply is slowing down its liquefied gas imports in this year. This has capped prices in the area, but executives in the industry expect LNG demand to grow from the industrial and power sectors in China in the future.

Customs data revealed that imports to the top LNG-importing country in the world fell to 20 millions metric tons over the first four month of this year. This is down from almost 29 million tons for the same period last year. The mild weather conditions and the buyer's resistance to higher prices were the main reasons.

Chinese firms also resell instead of importing U.S. goods after Beijing imposed an import tariff of 15% in a trade dispute with Washington.

Zhu Yanyan said that China's gas production increased by 2.7 billion cubic meters (bcm) in the first quarter while imports of pipeline gas rose by 1.2 bcm.

She added that LNG imports had fallen by 20%, or 5.7 billion cubic meters.

She told the delegates of the World Gas Conference that "our domestic gas and pipeline gases are covering the losses of LNG because LNG is expensive."

Li Yao, CEO of SIA Energy, expects China to increase its gas production and imports by 8 bcm this year.

She said that domestic and imported pipeline gases can more than offset the decline in LNG imports as well as the slowdown in demand caused by the ongoing Trade War.

Steve Hill, Mercuria Executive Vice President Gas & LNG, said that Chinese LNG demand had struggled this year due to mild weather and economic uncertainties. However, a recovery is expected, driven by lower gas prices, an economic stimulus and stable relations with the U.S.

DEMAND DRIVE

On the long term, Chinese companies predict that gas demand will grow over the next decade. This will require more LNG imports.

Sinopec Corp's chairman forecasts a peak in gas demand of 620 billion cubic meters between 2035 and 2020. The president of China Oil and Gas Pipeline Network Corp (PipeChina) expects the gas demand to be 650-700 Bcm by 2030-2035.

Sinopec and China National Petroleum Corp, both state-owned companies, expect China's gas consumption to increase by 6% in this year.

ENN Natural Gas is one of China’s largest private gas distributors. It expects the gas demand to reach between 550 and 600 bcm in 2030.

Su Li, vice president of ENN, told reporters that, "Although the growth rate is slowing, the trend will remain upwards, even for the period 2030-2060."

She added that ENN wants to increase its LNG supply to overseas markets and domestic markets to meet the growing demand.

Shell Vice President LNG Cederic Cremers stated: "Industry is a more important factor than power and it's also a more significant market for transport, especially heavy transport." He was referring to China's conversion of diesel trucks into LNG.

(source: Reuters)