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Yemen's Houthis warn Saudi Arabia of their targets in response to Iran's flight to Sanaa
Yemen's Houthis claimed on Friday that their forces had engaged Saudi "warplanes", which they claimed 'attempted to stop an Iranian civilian aircraft from landing at Sanaa International Airport', according to the military spokesperson for the group Yahya Saarea. Sarea, an Iran-aligned group, warned they would "target Saudi airports and vital interest on land and sea" if Saudi Arabia continued to violate Yemeni airspace. He added that flights between Sanaa, Iran and Tehran would continue despite "possible consequences". Al Masirah TV, a Houthi-run channel, reported on Friday that an Iranian plane landed in Sanaa to fly the group's delegation to Tehran for the funeral of Iran’s late Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Other passengers included more than 200 patients. Saudi Arabia led the military coalition which intervened in Yemen after the Iran-aligned Houthis took over the capital Sanaa in 2015. The Saudi-led coalition claimed early on Saturday that the Houthis' statements against the Kingdom were an attempt to "divert the attention" away from the group's "violations". It warned it would react firmly with "unprecedented force" against any attempts to attack the kingdom or violate Yemen's sovereignty. The Houthis demonstrated their missile and drone capabilities in Yemen's?war by attacking Saudi Arabia, targeting oil installations and critical infrastructure. Reporting by Eman Abohassira, Menna Alaa el-Din and Editing by Louise Heavens Philippa Fletcher David Gregorio
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Heatwave disrupts Fourth of Jule events in eastern US
The Fourth of July festivities were disrupted by a 'dangerous heatwave' that swept across large swathes of the central and eastern U.S. The Great American State Fair, which was a major event in President Donald Trump's celebration of the 250th anniversary of the United States, was also affected by the heat. The Great American State Fair was temporarily closed Friday afternoon as temperatures reached 101° Fahrenheit (38° Celsius). The organizers said that they expect the fair to reopen by?5 pm, with modifications such as cooling tents and spritzing stations. The emergence of the "heat dome," a system of high pressure that traps hot air over a large area, caused record-breaking temperatures to spread from the Midwest to the east of the U.S. earlier this week. More than 185 million people, or more than half of the U.S. population, were under heat alerts on Friday. National Weather Service reported that on Friday there were heat alerts for over 185 million people, more than half of the?U.S. In some parts of the nation, heat indexes can reach up to 115 F (46 C). Forecasters and government officials warned that this heat wave could be deadly. The government urged Americans to be hydrated and seek shade when attending public events and gatherings during the Fourth of Independence weekend. There were cancellations of events along the Eastern Seaboard during the Fourth of July weekend. This is when Americans usually 'gather to barbecues, parades, and fireworks displays in celebration of the 1776 Declaration?of?Independence. The Salute to Independence Parade in?Philadelphia was canceled due to extreme heat. The decision was made after temperatures reached 103 F in Philadelphia on Thursday. This tied a record set back in 1901. Heat-related disruptions were also felt in other parts of the region. Haddon Township in New Jersey canceled its annual Fourth of July parade. Watertown, upstate New York, cancelled its Independence Day concert. Boston officials have delayed the entrance to an annual riverside celebration of fireworks by four hours. The event was originally scheduled to begin at noon, but now it will start at 4 p.m. Reporting by Ahmed Aboulenein, Washington; Nathan Layne, New York. Editing by Mark Porter and David Gregorio.
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Heatwave disrupts Fourth of Jule events in eastern US
The Fourth of July celebrations were ruined by a 'dangerous heatwave' that swept through much of central and eastern U.S. On Friday, the heat wave forced officials to cancel or postpone dozens parades, concerts, and fireworks displays in celebration of the 250th anniversary of America. The Great American State Fair, a centerpiece event of President Donald Trump's efforts to celebrate the 250th anniversary of the United States of America on the National Mall of Washington was temporarily closed on Friday afternoon due to temperatures of 101 degrees Fahrenheit. Organisers have said that it is expected to reopen, weather permitting, at?5 pm, with modifications such as cooling tents and misting station. The National Weather Service reported that record-breaking temperatures reached the east coast of the United States from the Midwest this week. Over 185 million people received heat alerts for Friday. In many areas, peak heat indexes could reach?up to 115 degrees Fahrenheit. Forecasters and government officials warned that the heat wave was potentially deadly. They urged Americans to celebrate the Fourth of July outdoors, stay hydrated and seek shade, and be on guard for signs of heat illness. At least seven states have reported event cancellations, including a "major Independence Day Parade" in Philadelphia, as well as "events" in Maryland's Takoma Park, and Loudoun County in Virginia. Ahmed Aboulenein reported from Washington, Nathan Layne from New York and Mark Porter edited the story.
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PJM, the largest US power grid, intensifies emergency measures to prevent blackouts
PJM, the largest U.S. power 'grid operator, said?Friday he was on a federal alert for reducing electricity consumption in his territory due to generator failures, massive overloading of?its transmission lines and a spike in ac usage from prolonged sweltering temperatures. PJM said it had told utilities that they could reduce the electricity supplied to customers if they were under contract. PJM serves 67,000,000 people in the Mid-Atlantic, South, and Washington, D.C. area. This week, spot wholesale electricity prices in Northern Virginia, the home of the largest 'collection of data centres in the world, soared past $2,000 per megawatt hour. This compares to a?about 40?per MWh if PJM was not in distress. According to industry analysts and PJM operations data, the surge in prices is mainly because it's becoming expensive to supply power accross congested high voltage power lines.
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Alupar and Axia win power transmission projects in Brazil
A consortium led by Brazilian power company Alupar secured the largest lot in Friday's power transmission auction in Brazil, while Axia Energy won the other three projects. The consortium of Alupar, the Infra II Investment fund and other partners'secured' the installation of underground transmission in the metropolitan area of Sao Paulo with a proposal that offered to take 48 percent of the maximum revenue the project could generate. The auctioned lots on Friday were the most expensive, with the highest?investment expected at 1.1 billion reais (212.9?million). Axia Energia was awarded the remaining projects in Sao Paulo state, Mato Grosso state, and Mato Grosso do Sul with 668 million reais of required investment. According to the results released in Sao Paulo by the B3 stock market, Axia's winning offers offered a discount of more than 50% on the?allowed revenue in three cases. Brazil reauctioned four 'power transmission projects' after MEZ Energia - a company which had won concessions for 2020 and 2021 - failed to progress with them.
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Ivory Coast increases renewable energy with new solar power station
Ivory Coast opened a solar power plant of 52.4 megawatts (MW) on Friday as part of its 'efforts' to increase the % share of regenerative energy in their electricity mix, and achieve climate goals by 2021. The world's biggest cocoa producer wants to be a major energy supplier in West Africa. It aims to use 46% renewable energy by 2035. Ivory Coast has an installed capacity of approximately 3,000 MW. Most of this power is generated by oil and gas plants. It exports electricity to Ghana, Burkina Faso. Benin, Togo, and Mali. At the opening ceremony, Mines Minister Mamadou Sangafowa Coulibaly stated that "Today's Ceremony fits perfectly with Ivory Coast's strategy... to accelerate its energy transition through diversifying the electricity mix by expanding renewable energy capacity." According to PFO Africa, which is a 100% Ivorian infrastructure investment group, the Ferke Solar Plant?will?supply electricity for 370,000 households and directly serve about 2,000,000 people in primarily?the northern Ferkessedougou Region?. Construction ?of the plant was ?financed by PFO ?Africa subsidiary PFO Energies and it will operate on a Build-Own-Operate-Transfer basis. (Editing by Ayen deng Bior, Editing by Emelia sithole-Matarise).
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Yemen's Armed Forces Threaten Saudi Targets over Iran Flight to Sanaa
According to a military spokesperson, Yahya Saarea, Yemen's armed force alleged that they had confronted Saudi 'warplanes' attempting to prevent an Iranian civilian aircraft from landing in Sanaa International Airport. Sarea reported that the Iran-aligned group had warned they would "target Saudi airports and vital interest on land and sea" if Saudi Arabia continued to violate Yemeni airspace. He added that flights between Sanaa, Yemen and Tehran would continue despite "possible" consequences. Houthi Al Masirah TV reported earlier on Friday, that an Iranian aircraft had arrived in Sanaa. The group's delegation was then flown to Tehran for the funeral of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Among the passengers were more than 200 patients. Saudi Arabia led a coalition of military forces that intervened militarily in Yemen in 2015. This was after Houthis, who were aligned with Iran, seized Sanaa as the capital. The Houthis demonstrated their drone and missile capabilities in attacks against Saudi Arabia, which targeted oil installations and other vital infrastructure. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Philippe Fletcher and Eman Abouhassira)
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CMA CGM ship damaged by missile in the Hormuz Strait could be scrapped, CEO states
The CMA CGM container vessel that was damaged by a'missile' in the Strait of Hormuz early in May may be sent to scrapyard, according to its chief executive. The CMA CGM San Antonio was attacked by a missile. Several members of the crew were injured and evacuated. The ship was one of the dozens of commercial ships that were?struck' during the Iran War. Rodolphe Saade, Chairman and CEO of CMA CGM, said at a business meeting in southern France that the car was "so damaged" that they were considering scrapping it. San Antonio, which had been stuck in the strait since a few weeks, has now been brought to safety. He said that the group did not intend to send ships back to the Gulf at this time. The Iranian side was advising against it. Saade, whose family controls CMA CGM, has reiterated his opposition against transit fees to use the Hormuz Strait. These are a few of the?unresolved questions in U.S. - Iranian peace talks. CMA CGM was the third largest 'container shipping' line in the world at the beginning of the Iran War, which virtually closed the waterway. Saade stated that CMA CGM wants to see four more vessels leave the zone. In a French press interview, the CEO said that some of their vessels are intended to be used in the Gulf.
The commodities supercycle has arrived. How can investors get involved? : Taosha Wang
Commodities supercycles have the power to reshape market trends for many years, even decades. We appear to be back in one, as the Iran War has amplified a number of long-term bullish tendencies. Many investors are now asking how to engage in the supercycle, rather than whether they should. Oil recorded its biggest monthly gain ever following the U.S. and Israeli strike on Iran in February. Add to that the substantial gains in copper and gold since mid-2025, and the race to find energy, metals, and minerals to fuel the artificial-intelligence arms race. A commodities supercycle is underway.
Commodities supercycles are long, powerful waves that are driven by major structural changes. Think of the oil booms of 1970s or the urbanisation boom of China in the early 2000s.
How can investors participate?
Commodities tend to be treated as one asset class. However, a bullish market does not always occur in the same way across all of them. Leadership tends to change. Rotation within an asset class is as important as the overall direction.
As an example, while a geopolitical event may immediately lift the oil price, copper and gold prices may fall or even lag as investors reduce their crowded positions, or reassess risks to growth.
In 2022, energy prices spiked following Russia's invasion in Ukraine. Meanwhile, some industrial metals fell as concerns about recession grew.
We're seeing such divergence again today.
After the Iran War began, oil prices soared by 64% as energy supplies were squeezed. This acted as a hedge for portfolios against volatility in equity markets. Gold fell by 12% in March, its worst month since 2008. This was largely due to the fact that it had been inflated for months by heavy speculative purchases and was among the few liquid assets that investors could sell when margin calls were made.
What are the most important things that investors need to keep in mind when they're considering riding the latest commodity waves?
Small Pool, Big Waves
Investors should first remember that even small changes in the allocation of commodities can have a "massive" impact on prices.
Commodities play a huge role in the real economy but are not as important for investors as stocks and bonds. Energy and materials account for less than 6% of S&P 500 compared to more than 30% in the case of the "Magnificent 7" tech giants.
The price is determined by the margin. Even if a small amount of capital is moved from broad equities and bonds to commodities, whether via physical exposure or listed options, the price impact could be significant. A small market will only absorb so much new capital before prices adjust.
Another key issue is interconnectedness: the movement of one commodity can change the outlook for other commodities.
Many commodities are interconnected through the potential substitution of demand or as raw materials. High natural gas prices, for example, can increase oil consumption. Increasing energy costs affect the price of food, fuel and fertiliser. In some industrial applications, copper and aluminium are interchangeable.
Inventories are another factor to consider. While firms may value cost-efficiency in a situation where supply is not constrained, geopolitical events can lead to a shift towards higher inventories.
Iran is a good example. The ability of Tehran to block the Strait of Hormuz, which is a choke point for energy and other goods, has highlighted how vulnerable these products are.
In the future, both governments and businesses will likely place a higher priority on the security of supply for many goods. This will lead to a greater stock of strategic materials. This could lead to a structural premium for the entire complex.
STOCKS OR BARRELS?
Next, you will need to decide whether or not you want to own the commodities themselves or related equities.
Commodity-related stocks are affected by many factors. These include the hedging policies of each company, their capital allocation decisions and pipelines of projects, as well as their position within the commodity value chain.
Take the energy industry. Consider the energy industry.
Not all producers upstream benefit in the same way, of course.
The U.S. has not suffered any direct damage during the current conflict. Due to their different geological profiles and production techniques, these producers have greater flexibility in adjusting the rate of production.
Many U.S. companies were also well-adapted to the price regime that existed before the Iran war, which was roughly $70 a barrel. This allowed them to generate a healthy cash flow. The windfall at current prices could be significant.
Energy companies, no matter where in the world they are located, also have their own unique?risks relating to management, debt, long-term strategy concerns, and other issues. These issues do not need to be considered when investing directly in commodities.
Positive Convexity
Investors should also not overlook the positive convexity of commodity return profiles. The price upside is usually much greater than the downside.
The physical nature of commodities and their direct link to the productive activities necessary to keep an economy humming are at the root of this.
Investors can short sell or delay the purchase of financial assets when they rise in price.
It is rare that the same logic applies to tangible commodities where it's difficult to delay or reduce consumption quickly. Prices may increase and eventually cause demand destruction, but not quickly enough to avoid a sudden squeeze.
This asymmetry can be one of the reasons commodity cycles can become more powerful than investors expected once they have taken hold. Understanding this can make the difference between being in a good position for a commodity cycle or being run over by one.
The views expressed are the author's. Taosha is the portfolio manager at Fidelity and creator of "Thematically thinking" newsletter. This column is a favorite of yours? Open Interest (ROI) is your new essential source of global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.
(source: Reuters)