Latest News

Maguire: Asia's one and only LNG hotspot could be about to heat up.

The first half of 2025 saw a record-breaking drop in imports of LNG to Asia, as trade tensions and slowing growth in the United States dampened demand for super-chilled fuel.

Taiwan is the only Asian country that has not yet reached 2025. Fortunately for LNG exporters, Taiwan will be able to reduce its dependence on gas following its closure of its final nuclear reactor in October.

In fact, the forecasts of a period of temperatures above normal this summer could cause Taiwan's thermal energy needs to rise sharply in the months ahead, possibly leading to a new surge in LNG orders from Taiwan's electricity producers.

SINGLE STANDOUT

Data from commodities data firm Kpler show that, except for Taiwan, all of the major LNG importers from Asia reduced their LNG purchases compared to the same period last year.

This widespread drop in demand in a region that imports two-thirds all LNG has put several LNG exporters in a difficult position, and led to a 16 percent fall in Asia LNG prices So far, this year.

In 2025, five of the six biggest LNG importers are located in Asia, namely Japan, China South Korea India and Taiwan.

These countries collectively registered a 16 million metric-ton drop in LNG imports in the first half year of this year, compared with the same months in the previous decade.

Kpler data show that Taiwan has seen a modest increase of 100,000 tons in LNG order from last year.

There are several reasons why Taiwan's appetite to buy LNG may continue to grow in the months to come.

NUCLEAR CUT

Gas demand is primarily driven by the need to replace power lost due to the recent shutdown of Taiwan's only remaining nuclear reactor.

Around the middle of last year, Unit 2 of the Maanshan Nuclear Reactor was disconnected from Taiwan’s grid. This marked the end of 40 years of nuclear power in Taiwan.

Ember data show that power firms have been planning the nuclear shutdown since months. They have reduced their nuclear-powered electricity production accordingly, from 1 Terawatt Hour (TWh), per month, in 2024, to around 0.7 MWh, in April.

Taiwan's coal and gas plants produce around 7.5TWh per month each, allowing power companies to easily accommodate the nuclear cutbacks.

Solar farms, which produce around 1.5 TWh per month during the summer months, have helped to offset the loss in nuclear power generation.

HOT SPELL

In order to meet the system demand, which is likely to be higher in summer due to increased cooling needs, Taiwan's utilities are going to need to use all of their available resources.

Ember data show that between 2022 and 2024 Taiwan's total electric demand increased on average by 23% from April to July. It went up from 22.4 TWh per month to 27,4 TWh per month.

Natural gas and coal will be the main sources of power for this additional demand. They already provide around 46% of the total electricity supply.

This year, the challenge is that demand may be higher than anticipated due to forecasts of temperatures above normal for an extended period this summer.

According to LSEG forecasts, the average temperature in Taipei is expected to be around 28.4° Celsius (83.1° Fahrenheit).

This forecast is 5% higher than the average long-term for that time period and suggests a sustained use of air conditioners in Taiwan.

This suggests that Taiwan’s coal and natural gas plants may face an influx of capacity usage above normal, which could result in a faster-than-normal withdrawal from gas and coal stocks.

This is good news for LNG producers, who were disappointed with the demand in Asia this year. However, they may be about to enter a period where Taiwan will drive a stronger interest in Asia.

These are the opinions of a columnist who writes for.

You like this article? Check it out

Open Interest

The new global financial commentary source (ROI) is your go-to for all the latest news and analysis. ROI provides data-driven, thought-provoking analysis on everything from soybeans to swap rates. The markets are changing faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on

You can find us on LinkedIn.

(source: Reuters)