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ROI-Hormuz oil shock echoes 1973 embargo lessons: Bousso
Oil and gas have now resumed flowing through the Strait of Hormuz. However, the closing of this vital waterway for more than 100 days may prove to be an important turning point on the global energy market. A similar supply shock in 1973, the Arab "oil embargo", offers clues as to where we may be heading. The latest Middle East Crisis tested the limits on the modern energy system. It has evolved over the past decades into an interconnected global market, held together by thousands trading houses, complex pricing systems, and thousands of tankers. The system was remarkably flexible during the U.S. - Israeli war against Iran that began on February 28, 2009. Rapid changes in supply and demand patterns have mitigated what was previously considered as a "doomsday scenario": the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway is where nearly a fifth of 'world oil and liquefied gas supplies pass. This shock was not without pain, especially in Asia which relies on Middle East oil and gas for 60% of their imports. Market adaptations made during the crisis, such as the depletion of energy stocks and China's reduction in imports, were not sustainable. The global energy markets bought time. The global energy markets could have reached a critical point had the Strait not reopened at that time, when inventories were dangerously low. The calamity could have been avoided, but the Hormuz Crisis has forced nations to rethink energy strategies. Do we need to expect a drastic reduction in the use of fossil fuels? The comparison of today's crisis with the Arab oil embargo shows that the future will be much more complex, but that it could mark the beginning of an end to the oil age. BLACK GOLD Standard Oil was founded in 1870 by John D. Rockefeller. The modern age began in 1859 with the drilling of America's first commercial oil well. Oil consumption grew from almost nothing in 1900 to more than 100 million barrels a day in the 2020s. Control of the "black gold", as global consumption grew throughout the century, and new oil frontiers emerged, especially in the Middle East, became a source for friction between Western nations and oil producing countries, fueling countless wars, coups, and conflicts. After the Yom Kippur War of 1973, Arab members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries placed an oil embargo against the U.S. The oil price quadrupled almost overnight. This triggered a global inflation. Great Reshuffle The impact of the embargo was wide-ranging. It first pushed governments and companies to reduce fuel consumption. As Washington imposed fuel efficiency standards, U.S. motorists shifted to smaller and more efficient Japanese vehicles. European automakers promoted diesel engines and heavy industries shifted away from fuel oils to coal and gas. Western countries, in general, accelerated the development and production of oil and gas, especially offshore basins. It reduced their dependence on imports while also reducing the energy intensity of economies. In 1974, the crisis led to the creation of the International Energy Agency to coordinate global responses in the event of major oil disruptions. This included the management of newly-created national strategic petroleum reserve. It did not lead to economies abandoning fossil fuels but to using them more carefully. NEW ENERGY STRATEGY - DIVERSIFY AND BUY LOCALLY Fast forward to 2026 and a similar change appears to be taking place. There are more affordable alternatives to fossil-fuels available today than in the 1970s. This could reduce oil and gas consumption. Asia, which was most affected by the closure of the Gulf, responded with drastic measures. These included four-day work weeks, mandatory policies to work from home, and restrictions on car and air travel. Energy shortages forced some industries to reduce their capacity. These were only temporary measures that would be reversed when oil flow returned to normal. It is structural changes which will determine the future of the fastest growing energy market in the world. Asian economies have focused for years on finding the cheapest sources of energy to fuel growth. Hormuz taught us that energy security is more important than anything else, including price. In order to achieve this, India and Pakistan are now investing in their domestic oil reserves. They will follow IEA member countries and China. India, Pakistan, and Japan are all major energy importers who want to reduce their dependence on oil and gas. They do this by investing in renewables and nuclear power, and even coal. In South Korea, which is a major industrial and petrochemical powerhouse, the President Lee Jae Myung called for efforts to explore alternate supply chains, pursue long-term industrial restructuring, and move towards a "plastic free economy" as part of key national projects. Europe was not as badly affected by the Iran Crisis, but it has experienced two major energy supply disruptions in less than five years. Europe had to replace the sanctioned energy supply after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. Gas prices rose and countries implemented energy-saving measures. Chemicals, glass, and steel industries also suffered as the high cost of fuel made them uncompetitive on a global scale. The European gas market dropped by more than 20% between 2021-2023, and it has barely recovered since. Renewables are now a larger part of Europe's energy mix. This trend is likely to be accelerated by the latest shock. Capital has already started to follow these new global energy priorities. Despite the Middle East conflict's destabilising effects, global energy investments are expected to reach $3.4 billion this year. This is up 5% on 2025. Most of the money is going to alternative fuels and systems that are more resilient. This suggests that the shift away from oil, even if it is only marginally, is gaining traction. According to the IEA, electric vehicle sales soared in the first three months of 2026. They increased by 30% in Europe, by 75% in Latin America, and by 80% in Asia Pacific. Solar trade flows also tell a similar story, with Chinese panels exports to Africa jumping 120% and to Southeast Asia by 150%. In Africa, 15 nations reported solar imports exceeding $400 million dollars in the first quarter, compared to $650 million by 2025. The policy agenda is moving towards a greater focus on energy efficiency. The global spending on this topic is already around $350 billion a year. And the scope of these?policies continue to expand. According to the IEA, approximately 20 countries announced new efficiency measures 'in response to the Hormuz Crisis. It is not true that oil and natural gas will soon be replaced as the mainstays of a global energy system. The oil industry is still deeply rooted in transportation, agriculture, and construction. Meanwhile, the gas industry has been boosted by an increase in electricity demand, fueled by air conditioning, industrial expansion, and AI data centers. It's all about the direction. The direction of fossil fuel usage was always up and to the left for most of the 20th century. The Hormuz Crisis may change this. You like this column? Check out Open Interest, your new essential source for global financial commentary. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast daily on Apple, Spotify or the app. Subscribe to the Morning Bid podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.
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IAEA announces that repairs have been completed at Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Plant
The?U.N. The?U.N. The repairs were carried out in two separate locations: the switchyard at the Zaporizhzhya thermal power plant, which supplies electricity to the ZNPP via the backup 330 kV Ferosplavna-1?line, according to the agency. The Dniprovska Line has not been brought back to operation yet due to?extensive damages at its connecting substation. The International Atomic Energy Agency's Rafael Mariano Grossi stated in a statement that the line had been repaired but still needed to be brought back into operation. The agency stated that repairs to the substation are ongoing but not expected to be completed in the near future.
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Honda CEO apologizes for loss of company, gains investor support at annual meeting
Toshihiro Mibe, the chief executive of Honda Motor, received support from shareholders at the annual meeting held on Friday for his reappointment as a member of the Japanese automaker’s?board after apologizing to them for the poor financial performance. Honda has been forced to restructure its electric vehicle business, which cost more than $9 billion dollars in restructuring costs. It is also facing competition from Chinese competitors. Mibe apologized to shareholders at the beginning of the meeting for the concern and inconvenience caused due to the net loss in the financial results from the previous fiscal year. In addition to Mibe, Honda shareholders also approved 10 other nominees for the board, nine of whom were up for re-appointment, and one who was a new?director. Glass Lewis and ISS had advised that all directors be supported. Honda, amidst a rollback of EV subsidies, decided to write down its EV-linked debt. The market share for battery-powered vehicles in the U.S. was far below what the company had forecasted, Mibe explained. This meant that the planned models would require large incentives. Mibe stated that if the company had sold its planned EVs it "would have meant the automotive business staying in the negative for at least five, and possibly even seven years," adding that this would have created a very?critical situation within the company. REIGNATION CALLOUTS People familiar with the situation have said that Mibe's mishaps in recent months has attracted scorn from retired Honda executives. Former chief executive Nobuhiko Kawasmoto visited Tokyo headquarters in April and urged him to resign. Former?executives criticised Mibe's neglect of China, the largest auto market in the world, as well as its failed bets on EVs, which led to Honda's loss, and showed a growing dependency on the motorcycle division. A shareholder filed a motion near the end of the meeting calling for Mibe to be fired. However, the chief executive refused 'to put the matter to a vote.' He said that the topic was not on 'the agenda. Mibe stated that talks between Nissan Motors and Mitsubishi Motors regarding cooperation on next-generation vehicles technologies, which have been ongoing since mid-2024 are at an advanced level.
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French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch
Here are some company news and stories that could impact the markets in France and Benelux or on individual stocks. AIR FRANCE KLM: The Franco-Dutch carrier?Air France KLM?has successfully issued EUR 500 million senior notes under?its EMTN Program?with a 5-year maturity and a fixed coupon annual of 4.250%. These notes will be used primarily to fund general corporate purposes. LE SLIP FRANCAIS: French underwear manufacturer Le Slip Francais plans to trade its shares on the Paris stock exchange on Bastille Day, July 14. Michelin: The French tire manufacturer Michelin plans to phase out its BFGoodrich tire factory in Tuscaloosa in early 2027. LVMH/MARIE BRIZARD/PERNOD - The head of Paris police announced on Thursday that Parisians would be prohibited from drinking alcohol in public starting at midday on Friday to curb health problems arising from the current heatwave in France and Europe. VINCI: French construction and concessions group Vinci has won a EUR210m ($238.98m) contract for the second building at the new 'Reims Hospital. EUR157m was allocated to Vinci Construction, and the project will last 45 months. Pan-European market data: European Equities speed guide................... FTSE Eurotop 300 index.............................. DJ STOXX index...................................... Top 10 STOXX ?sectors........................... Top 10 EUROSTOXX sectors...................... Top 10 Eurotop 300 ?sectors..................... Top 25 European pct gainers....................... Top 25 European pct losers........................ Main stock markets: Dow Jones ............... Wall Street report ..... Nikkei 225............. Tokyo ?report............ London report ........... Xetra ?DAX............. Frankfurt items......... CAC-40................. Paris items............ World Indices..................................... Survey of global bourse outlook ......... European Asset Allocation........................ News in a glance Top News ............. Equities.............. Main Oil Report ........... Main currency report .....
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Bangladesh calls on China to reduce the trade gap
?Bangladeshi Premier Minister Tarique Rahman?met?with Chinese president Xi Jinping on?Friday in?Beijing, where he urged a reducing of the trade deficit, diversification exports, and China's assistance in implementing major projects in his country. Rahman began a three-day visit to China on Wednesday. It is his first trip since becoming prime minister. Dhaka wants to strengthen its ties with China. It is one of the largest trading partners and development financiers. Rahman's visit is also of a broader diplomatic nature, as he seeks to maintain a balance between ties with Beijing and New Delhi. He was seen to be closer to India than his predecessor Sheikh Hasina. While relations between Dhaka & New Delhi have improved since Rahman's appointment, there are still disagreements. Rahman said that China could diversify Bangladesh's exports in order to reduce Bangladesh’s trade deficit. According to a report from a media pool, Rahman stated that "we request China to import our fresh mangoes, jackfruits, guavas, aquatic products such as?raw leather and jute products, and pharmaceutical products." He added that Bangladesh needed China's help in "implementing our major signature projects as well as upgrading and modernising our existing industrial unit," Bangladesh joined China's Belt and Road Initiative, Xi Ji's flagship development and infrastructure strategy aimed at connecting Asia with Africa and Europe in 2016. China is willing and able to support Bangladesh in importing more high-quality products, supporting Chinese companies in investing in Bangladesh and expanding cooperation in emerging industries like new energy, digital economy, and artificial intelligence. State media reported that Rahman met Premier Li?Qiang Thursday, where they signed several cooperation agreements to strengthen bilateral ties. Bangladesh owes China $6,2 billion according to World Bank data. The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank in Beijing has also lent another $2.3 billion. Delhi has only lent $1.6 billion to its neighbor. Data from the American Enterprise Institute shows that Chinese companies have invested an additional $7.7 billion in Bangladesh's Energy Sector. Around half of this amount was spent on energy. Chim Lee is a senior analyst with the Economist Intelligence unit in Beijing. Lee explained that Bangladesh was a challenge because it didn't offer the same type of logistics corridor as Central Asia or Myanmar. Reporting by Joe Cash, Farah master and the Beijing Newsroom. Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman & Lincoln Feast.
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Honda CEO apologizes for loss of company, gains investor support at annual meeting
Toshihiro?Mibe, Honda Motor's Chief Executive Officer,?won the support of shareholders at its annual meeting on?Friday after apologizing to them for their poor financial performance. Honda wants to recover from strategic mistakes after posting its first annual loss for'seven decades' last month. The company was hurt by $9 billion in restructuring costs and competition from Chinese competitors. Mibe told shareholders that the financial results of the previous fiscal year had a net loss. Honda shareholders also approved 10 other nominees for the board, including nine directors who were up for reappointment, and one new director. (Reporting and editing by Thomas Derpinghaus; Daniel Leussink)
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Taiwan and Japan are affected by torrential rains caused by a passing storm
Tropical storms passing through Taiwan caused torrential?rains? that shut down southern Taiwan, forcing more than 5,000,000 people to miss work or school. Japan also issued flood and landslide alerts. The outer bands of Typhoon Mekkhala - now a tropical storm - are bringing heavy rains to some parts of Taiwan. This is especially true in Kaohsiung and Tainan in the south. On Friday, the governments of three Taiwanese regions with more than five million residents ordered all offices and schools to close. Flooding in Tainan caused a section of main north-south rail line to be closed. Japan also experienced heavy rains and strong winds, resulting in high-level alerts for flooding, landslides and swollen riverbeds. 2.2 million residents were ordered to evacuate. The Japan Meteorological Agency has warned of heavy rainfall across western Japan, caused by a stationary seasonal front and warm moist air that feeds into it. According to the Japanese land ministry, more than 200 flights have been cancelled, and dozens of trains lines have been halted. Many expressways were also closed. Toyota closed a factory located in Kyushu, a southern region, on Thursday afternoon. The decision to resume production for the second shift was expected later. No casualties were reported in Taiwan but authorities are evacuating 200 residents of two townships in Hualien County, which is downstream from a barrier lake that's rapidly filling up in the mountains. When?rocks or landslides, or other natural blockages create a dam across the river, usually in a valley. This dam blocks and holds back water. It can even stop natural drainage. In Hualien, another barrier 'lake' breached during Super Typhoon Ragasa and unleashed a wall of mud and water into homes. Rain will continue to fall over Taiwan for the next few weeks, but it should gradually decrease. Taiwan relies on the summer and fall typhoon seasons to replenish its reservoirs following a typically dry winter. Reporting by Ben Blanchard, Chang-Ran Kokiya and KantaroKomiya in Tokyo. Editing by Shri Navaratnam & Christopher Cushing.
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Southern Taiwan rail line and southern Taiwan shut down by torrential rain caused by a passing typhoon
A typhoon passing through southern Taiwan caused torrential rains, forcing more than 5 million people to miss work or school. Flooding also cut off a section of the main rail line. While Typhoon Mekkhala is currently over the Ryukyu islands in southern Japan, it did not directly landfall on Taiwan. However, its outer bands brought heavy rains to some parts of the island. All three governments, where more than 5 million people reside, have ordered that offices and schools be closed on Friday. The separate high-speed rail line did not report any problems, but a section of Tainan's main north-south line was closed due to severe flooding. Authorities in Hualien County on Taiwan's East Coast are evacuating almost 200 residents of two townships in the mountains below a barrier lake that is rapidly filling. When rocks, landslides, or other natural obstructions form a dam across a stream, usually in a valley, they block and hold back the water, hindering, or even stopping, "natural drainage". In a different part of Hualien, 19 people were killed last year when a barrier lake burst its banks due to Super Typhoon Ragasa. The wall of water and mud that engulfed homes was caused by the breach. It is predicted that rain will continue to fall over Taiwan at least for the next week. However, it will gradually ease. Taiwan relies on a traditional summer and fall typhoon to replenish its reservoirs following a typically dry winter. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam.)
Taiwan's Evergreen claims ship struck by unknown object near Oman
The Taiwanese firm said that a ship owned by?Evergreen Marine, which was struck by an unknown object near Oman has now safely departed the?Strait?of Hormuz.
The company made a statement at the Taiwan Stock Exchange, stating that the starboard side?bridge of Ever Lovely, which is owned by its Singapore subsidiary, had been hit by an unknown object just 3.6 nautical mile off Oman’s Khawr Naiwah.
After a?initial crew inspection, damage was discovered around the bridge windows. The crew, vessel, and cargo were all safe.
The company reported that the main engine, navigation instruments and seaworthiness are all working normally.
The'ship' was said to be following the route recommended by the British Navy agency UKMTO while passing through the strait.
UKMTO said on Thursday that an Omani cargo ship reported a suspected attack while it was attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
(source: Reuters)