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Citigroup upgrades US stocks as earnings and tech strength soothe Mideast war worries

Citigroup is now bullish on U.S. stocks, joining the flurry?of?brokerages who are betting on robust corporate earnings and attractive valuations following recent pullbacks. They also believe that U.S. tech stocks will contribute more to global earnings growth. In a late-Monday note, the 'Wall Street' brokerage upgraded U.S. equity to "Overweight", from "Neutral". S&P 500 index has recovered nearly 9% since a low of seven months in late March. This is due to optimism that the Middle East conflict will ease the risk of an oil-driven inflation. BlackRock Investment Institute and other Wall Street brokerages, including BlackRock Investment Institute which upgraded U.S. equity on Monday, shared similar views. They favored U.S. stocks above their global peers.

Citi strategists wrote in a 'Monday note that the (U.S. market) has derated, and trades now at a premium compared to developed markets excluding the U.S., which is?closer to historical averages. At a time when global earnings growth is slowing down and skewing more towards technology,

Citi stated that while all sectors will see a rise in earnings per share by 2026, the tech sector is expected to account for about 50% of this increase.

The brokerage downgraded emerging markets equities, however, to a "Neutral", pointing out that many EMs are still highly vulnerable to energy shortages. In addition, the strength of the dollar could exacerbate these headwinds.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has fallen 2.8% since the start of the conflict. This is due to the fact that the war with Iran has pushed up oil prices. It also caused concerns over inflation, external balances deteriorating, and capital flows in energy-importing countries.

Citi also?upgraded their year-end MSCI EM target to 1,770, from 1,540. The brokerage also upgraded the global materials sector to "Overweight", saying that improved earnings momentum and stronger growth prospects have elevated its appeal while it is still cheap. The brokerage downgraded global communication services to "Underweight". Reporting by Joel Jose in Bengaluru and Kanishka AJmera; editing by Rashmi AYICH

(source: Reuters)