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Trade barriers, plane delivery delays challenge global airline growth

On Monday, the head of the global airline industry said that increasing trade barriers could harm the economy and air travel sector. He also stated that "unacceptable delays" in plane deliveries were hampering growth plans during a period of record passenger numbers.

IATA (International Air Transport Association) has slashed its key profit forecast for the industry in 2025, blaming rising trade tensions and a decline in consumer confidence.

Willie Walsh, IATA's Director General, said that flying is a form of connectivity which makes the world more prosperous. He made this statement at the annual meeting of the group in New Delhi.

"That is in stark contrast to the isolationism of trade barriers, and the fragmentation multilateral system based on rules. They destroy wealth and lower standards of living. This is a very important message for the times in which we live," he said.

The tariffs that President Donald Trump imposed have caused consumers to postpone or cancel their travel plans, especially in the United States.

The threat also includes a pact that was signed by more than 30 nations to eliminate all duties on aircraft parts and components.

Walsh claimed that there is no evidence to suggest aircraft prices have increased because of tariffs. However, he added that airlines will resist any attempts by aerospace manufacturers (or their agents) to increase prices. He also called on governments to keep aerospace out from trade wars.

IATA represents more than 300 airlines, which account for over 80% of the global traffic.

Walsh stated that the progress made in environmental sustainability is not as good as it could be. He criticized energy firms for failing to produce enough sustainable aviation fuel, which is made of waste oil and biomass and costs more than traditional jet fuel.

IATA has warned that airlines may struggle to reach their sustainability goals. But Walsh said the industry still aims for net-zero emission by 2050, based on a gradual shift to SAF.

Delivery Delays

After a recovery in the passenger market following the pandemic, more people are now flying. However, airline growth is being hindered by prolonged plane delivery delays as well as supply chain bottlenecks that increase maintenance and repair times.

Walsh said that predictions of delays in aircraft deliveries throughout the decade were "absolutely unacceptable". Walsh said that the airline industry is evaluating its legal options in regards to the delays but prefers to work collaboratively with manufacturers.

He said, "The manufacturing industry is in a bad state."

IATA reported that the number of 2025 deliveries was 26% lower than what had been promised a year earlier, but at 1,692, this would still be the most new planes delivered since 2018.

IATA's update on its industry outlook stated that "further downward revisions will be likely given the supply chain issues expected to persist through 2025, and perhaps even the next decade."

Tim Clark, the president of Dubai's Emirates Airlines, the largest international airline in the world, stated on Sunday that pandemics were no longer acceptable as an excuse for delays. He challenged the planemakers to accept responsibility.

Flyadeal, a Saudi low-cost carrier, also expressed similar frustration.

"Delays have become inexcusable." To be honest, we are getting more and more agitated because of the lack of transparency. How can we plan anything else? "It's just beyond a joke," Flyadeal CEO Steven Greenway said.

Boeing, the U.S. aircraft manufacturer, is trying to stabilize and ramp up its production after a quality problem and a strike last year slowed down output.

Airbus, Europe's largest aircraft manufacturer, warned airlines last week that they could face another three years in delivery delays.

In spite of the challenges, airlines are still seeking to buy more planes in order to meet future demand for travel.

Air India, a Tata Group company, is in negotiations with Airbus or Boeing to place a massive new order, including 200 additional single-aisle aircraft. This deal will be a top-up of a huge 2023 deal as the former government carrier pursues an ambitious multi-billion dollar revamp. (Reporting and writing by Lisa Barrington in New Delhi, editing by Jamie Freed.)

(source: Reuters)