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EU developing jet fuel plan in response to Iran crisis that threatens air travel

Officials said that the European Union was drafting plans in order to combat a possible shortage of jet fuel and maximize refinery production.

As a result, European airlines have warned that jet fuel shortages could occur within weeks. This will disrupt travel ahead of summer. Europe imports more jet fuel than any other fuel, 75% of which comes from the Middle East. The European Commission plans to introduce EU-wide mapping for refining capacities of oil products from next month. It will also introduce measures "to make sure that existing refining capability is fully utilized and maintained", according to a draft proposal.

Officials familiar with the proposals say that the EU is also developing measures to target jet fuel supplies, but they are still under development. The Commission declined to comment on these draft plans that are scheduled to be released on April 22, 2019.

Since the blockade of the Strait?Hormuz, jet fuel prices have skyrocketed. European airlines warn of increased costs, cancellations and groundings of planes in the event that the war doesn't end soon. U.S. president Donald Trump stated in remarks aired Wednesday that the war against Iran could be over soon. He told the world to keep an eye out for "an amazing two days" while U.S. troops imposing a naval blockade were preventing vessels from leaving Iranian ports.

SHORTAGES COULD HIT THE SUMMER HOLIDAY SEASON Airlines prepare for a possible supply crunch. The International Energy Agency predicts jet fuel shortages in June if only half of the Middle East's supplies can be replaced.

Analysts said that increased imports from Africa or the U.S. will not be enough to make up the difference. Fuel handling consortiums, which feed airports, do not always maintain long-term stock, and most airports don't keep large amounts of fuel on hand. Some airports warned of shortages in three weeks' time if fuel shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain restricted.

Refining capacity in Europe has decreased over the past few years as domestic oil production has fallen and governments have sought cleaner energy sources.

This month, the IEA stated that'many European refineries are already operating at their maximum capacity in jet fuel production.

"Our (jet-fuel) suppliers have changed their forecasting windows and are no longer willing to provide an outlook for a time period that exceeds one month," Lufthansa CTO Grazia Vittadini said in Frankfurt, on Wednesday.

Heathrow airport in the UK said the effects of the war have not yet affected its operations. However, it is monitoring the situation. ADP, the owner of Paris Charles de Gaulle airport, did not reply to a comment request.

Britain is not part of the 27-member bloc and therefore, it would be unlikely that any proposed EU rules will affect Britain.

JET FUEL STOCK VARIATIONS IN EUROPE Jet Fuel supplies are very uneven throughout Europe. Spain is a net jet fuel exporter with eight refineries, and imports cover over 60% of British demand. European airlines have requested that the EU improve its monitoring of jet fuel supply and consider joint purchases of kerosene.

IEA data show that the OECD Europe region (which includes EU countries and others such as Britain and Norway) imports over 30% of its jet fuel. Most of it goes through the Strait.

As a buffer to supply shocks, the EU requires that its members maintain 90-day oil emergency reserves. The EU does not have a requirement for jet fuel but countries can include it as well as other oil products in their emergency stock.

(source: Reuters)