Latest News

Russia raises August oil export plan after drone strikes disrupt refineries, sources say

Three people with knowledge of the situation said that Russia revised its crude oil export plans from western ports in August by 200,000 barrels a day (bpd). This was due to the fact that Ukrainian drone attacks disrupted the refinery operations, allowing more crude to be shipped.

Due to the ongoing strikes and changing repair schedules, delays and volume revisions may be expected, they stated.

"Attacks continue and repair deadlines vary daily." One person stated that it is unclear how much Russia will be able to load in this month or the next. The final plans for loading Russian oil in September have not yet been received by Russian oil sellers, even though they usually receive the plan one week before the loading period.

The Russian Energy Ministry and Transneft, the monopoly of the oil pipeline in Russia, did not respond immediately to comments.

The disruptions occur at a moment when Moscow seeks to increase revenues despite Western Sanctions and U.S. Pressure on key buyers of its oil to reduce their imports.

The sources stated that the loadings of Primorsk and Novorossiisk will reach 2 million barrels a day, up from 1.8 million. This is a significant increase from an original plan for 1.8 million. According to calculations, the adjustment was made after attacks on ten Russian refineries in this month that shut down facilities representing at least 17% or 1.1 millions bpd of national processing capacity. Ukraine also attacked the Druzhba pipe and Unecha pumping stations in the Bryansk area, which are key routes for crude deliveries to Ust-Luga. This further limited Russia's export capability.

According to one source, damage to the Druzhba Pipeline and Ust-Luga Route could result in a reduction of exports up to 500,000 BPD. This person also said that the availability of vessels at the end August was limited, which would limit Russia's capacity to increase shipments. A second source stated that Ust-Luga is only operating at 50% of its 700 000 bpd capability and it's unclear when the terminal will start to run in full. Source: The volume is being diverted towards Novorossiisk or Primorsk.

As most refineries are located in central Russia, the western port loadings of Russian oil are adjusted according to refinery throughput. Eastern exports remain largely unaffected.

(source: Reuters)