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Which firms will clean-up after the Iran War is over? Maguire

After the U.S. and Israeli air strikes on?Iran are over, a new competition is likely to begin: the race for contracts to repair damaged oil and gasoline infrastructure and to restore?shipping routes - and influence – across the Middle East.

The destruction does not stop in Iran. Fatih Birol, head of the International Energy Agency, warned that at least 40 energy assets in nine Middle Eastern countries have been "severely" or "very severely" damaged. Oil and gas fields, refineries, and pipelines will all take time to be repaired, he said. The crisis is worse than both oil shocks in the 1970s and the combined impact of the Russia/Ukraine gas war, according to Birol.

Engineering specialists are lining up for the rebuilding of pipelines that have been destroyed, while logistics companies can repair ports and terminals that have been bombed out. A select group of businesses is ready to turn the end to the conflict into a lucrative business boom.

Here are some of the sectors and companies that could be competing for the many energy and port reconstructions projects that will likely emerge in the Middle East after the war ends and the cleanup begins.

ENGINEERING CONGLOMERATES

Once the fighting has stopped, multinational engineering giants are among the first companies to be called into Iran to assess the damage caused and to draw up plans for reconstruction.

Companies with experience in the repair and construction of oil rigs and refineries, pipelines, and natural gas liquefaction will play an important role in Iran's recovery, and in restoring revenues to the country.

The ultimate winners will be determined by political affiliations. Both the Iranian and U.S. government are expected to have strong opinions on the way contracts are divided up.

After a few weeks of constant bombing, there will still be plenty of work.

SLB (formerly Schlumberger), Halliburton and Baker Hughes, as well as the privately-held Bechtel Corp., are all major U.S. companies with large oil and gas engineering departments.

The obvious candidates on the Iranian side are the Khatam-al Anbiya Construction company, which is controlled by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. (IRGC), and the Mapna Group - the largest oil, gas, and power contractor in the country.

Many international firms, including Italy's Saipem and France's Technip as well as India's Larsen and Toubro and Dubai's Sidara, have extensive operations throughout the Middle East. They will also have the contacts and expertise needed to start work quickly.

CNPC of China, NMDC in the United Arab Emirates and Petrofac from Britain are also regionally present and will likely compete for tenders.

OIL & GASS MAJORS

After pipelines and energy infrastructure are repaired, oil and gas producers around the world will look to step up to resume well site extraction and restore the region's refineries.

National energy companies throughout the region will likely feature prominently. These include National Iranian Oil Company, QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company.

Shell, TotalEnergies (France) and Exxon Mobil (U.S.), as well as other international majors with operations in the Middle East will also look to protect their position.

The destruction is a good indicator of what lies ahead. Israeli strikes have damaged four units in Iran's South Pars Gas Field, and Iranian attacks in Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City have caused extensive damage to the LNG facilities. It will take many years to repair these damages.

SHIPPING & UTILITIES

Damage does not end at the wellhead. Ports, electricity grids, and water systems across the region were all affected, requiring a similar reconstruction effort.

Recent bombardments have caused significant damage to large ports and merchant ships in the Iranian waters, as well as scores of other vessels.

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow chokepoint that separates Iran from Oman and through which a fifth of all crude oil and LNG in the world passes, has effectively been closed. Reopening this passage will be necessary for a return to normal energy flows around the globe.

The recovery effort is expected to take years. Specialists in harbour reconstruction and marine salvage will be needed to restore port facilities and clear shipping channels.

Tavanir, a state-owned company, and Mapna Group, a private group, operate the majority of Iran's electricity generation and transmission networks. They will anchor the recovery efforts at home.

Rosatom, the Russian company that manages Iran's Bushehr reactor, near the recent strike zones, has a more complicated challenge to face, as any reconstruction effort supported by the United States is likely be contested.

Desalination plant that provide clean water to?Iran, Bahrain, and parts of the israeli electricity grid were also affected, extending the scope of rebuilding well beyond Iran's border.

Even if fighting stopped today, there would still be years of reconstruction to come.

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(source: Reuters)