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Oil prices jump 8% above $100 in anticipation of US blockade of Strait of Hormuz

Oil prices jumped over $100 a barrel Monday as the U.S. Navy?prepared a?blockade of the Strait?of Hormuz which could restrict Iranian oil?shipments?after?the U.S.

Brent crude futures were up $7.60 or 7.98% to $102.80 per barrel at 2310 GMT, after closing 0.75% lower Friday.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate reached $104.88 per barrel, an increase of $8.31 or 8.61% after a loss of 1.33% in the previous session.

The market has returned to its pre-ceasefire conditions, with the exception that the U.S. is blocking the remaining Iranian-linked flows of up to 2,000,000 barrels of oil per day through the Strait of?Hormuz, said Saul Kavonic. He is the head of MST Marquee's energy research.

Donald Trump announced on Sunday that the U.S. Navy would begin blocking the Strait of Hormuz. This is a major step after the marathon talks between Iran and the U.S. failed to produce a peace agreement, putting at risk a fragile two-week ceasefire.

He said that oil and gasoline prices may continue to rise through the midterm elections in November, "a rare acknowledgment of the possible 'political fallout" from his decision six weeks earlier to attack Iran.

The U.S. Central Command announced that U.S. Forces would begin blocking all maritime traffic into and out of Iranian ports as early as 10 a.m. ET (1400 GMT), on Monday.

In a recent note, ANZ analysts 'Brian Martin and Daniel Hynes' said that the move would not only restrict the exports of Persian Gulf oil producers but also Iran's capability to export oil. This will exacerbate supply disruptions on the market.

IG analyst Tony Sycamore stated that the move would effectively choke-off the flow of Iranian crude oil, forcing Tehran’s allies to apply the necessary pressure in order to reopen the waterway.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards announced on Sunday that any military vessel attempting to "approach" the Strait of Hormuz will be considered as a violation of two-week U.S. truce and dealt with harshly.

Shipping data revealed that despite the deadlock, three supertankers,?fully loaded with oil, passed through the Strait of Hormuz Saturday. They appeared to be first vessels to leave the Gulf after the ceasefire agreement was reached last week.

Shipping data from LSEG showed that no other ships were spotted 'in the strait Monday, except for an 'Iran-flagged vessel anchored in the area.

Saudi Arabia announced on Sunday that it had restored the full capacity of the East-West oil pipeline to approximately 7 million barrels per days, just days after assessing the damage caused to its energy sector by attacks during the Iran Conflict.

(source: Reuters)