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European oil refining margins turn negative, bucking global trend

According to IEA and trade sources, European oil'refining margins are now negative. They lag behind?stronger margins? in Asia and the U.S. as a result of the?competition for crude? from Asian buyers because of the Iran War drives up costs, even though fuel prices have reached record highs.

The IEA reported in its monthly report, based on Argus Media data, that the margins for Northwest European sweet light hydroskimming fell to a negative average of $6.45 a barrel in the week starting April 6.

The data also showed that the margins for medium sour cracking were in the negative. The margins for light sweet cracking remain positive but have also shrunk significantly.

The squeeze on margins is the result of the record-high physical crude oil prices as the conflict in Iran has disrupted Middle East flow.

Analysts said that the?narrowing European Margin effectively shows these plants running at a deficit, and will likely prompt some to reduce crude oil processing into fuels.

Trading sources say that simple European refineries without the upgrading units needed to extract higher-value products like jet fuel could be forced to reduce production if margins remain under pressure. However, there are no signs of widespread reductions yet.

Neil Crosby, an analyst at Sparta Commodities, said that Europe will cut its utilisation as things stand. He added that the runs could drop by up to 500,000 barrels a day.

ASIAN CONCURRENCE FOR CRUDE RAISES PRICES

IEA data revealed that in contrast, the heavy sour cracking margins were stronger last week compared to the average for March. In Singapore, the IEA data showed that the medium sour cracking rates were also higher last week compared to their March averages.

Trading sources say that the squeeze in Europe is due to rising crude prices as Asian refiners compete for cargoes. They also cite higher operating costs, such as electricity and natural gases.

A trading source at a European refinery said, "It is typical of these crises." Fuel cracks are first to appear, but margins will be affected as crude prices and other costs rise. He said that the margins had dropped from $30 per barrel during?the first weeks of the conflict, to just under $4 today.

Margins in Europe reached record levels in March.

The IEA reported that in Singapore, margins were 14 times higher in March than they were in February. In?northwest Europe, margins for light sweet hydroskimming in 'March were nine times higher at $15.20 a barrel than they were in 'February.

Some refineries even postponed planned shutdowns in order to benefit from the higher fuel price.

IIR, an industry watchdog, reported that Sarroch, Italy's 300 000 barrel per day refinery, was forced to shut down for maintenance from mid-March until late May. Vitol, the refinery operator, declined to make any comments. (Editing by Alex Lawler, Jan Harvey)

(source: Reuters)