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Qatar's production of LNG has been halted due to the war in Iran, and Asia is scrambling for LNG.

India rationed natural gas Tuesday, while other countries in Asia looked for supplies on the spot market, activated their emergency plans, and prepared to increase production. The conflict?in the?Middle East curtailed shipping, and Qatari output was halted.

Officials and executives from Japan, Taiwan and Bangladesh, as well as Pakistan, said that they didn't expect any immediate effects, since some of the cargoes expected this month have already arrived. However, they will diversify their sources and purchase LNG on the spot market, if the conflict continues.

More than 80% (or more) of Qatar's LNG shipments are to Asia. Qatar is the No. According to Kpler's data, the United States is the world's No. 2 producer of LNG.

Gas firms in India reduced their supplies on Tuesday, anticipating a tighter Middle East supply after Qatar stopped production.

Taiwan's economy ministry announced on Tuesday that the island nation, which gets more than 40% its electricity from LNG, and imports about a third from Qatar, would buy more LNG from the U.S., and might coordinate with South Korea or Japan if there is a prolonged shipping blockade.

Taiwan Premier Cho Jungtai stated that "we will continue a moving in the direction we've been pursuing for years: obtaining enough energy through diversified market," adding that a "emergency reaction mechanism"?had already been activated to address the Qatari disruption of supply.

Japan, the No. The world's No. 2 LNG importer, which sources 4% from Qatar, can tap the spot market, or ask utilities to buy gas from each other, if necessary, said its trade minister.

SOUTH ASIAN LNG SUPPLY

Industry officials in Bangladesh and Pakistan compared the situation with the aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine 2022, where LNG prices spiked while supply was disrupted causing extended power outages.

Experts in the industry said that while Pakistan's solar power will prevent daytime power outages, Bangladesh may face shortages, and may have to import more coal and power from India.

Senior officials at the state-run Petrobangla have said that a prolonged interruption would put pressure on power generation?and industrial production as summer approaches.

The official stated that four of the nine cargoes scheduled for March by Bangladesh from Qatar have already crossed 'the Strait of Hormuz.' Dhaka could also look to purchase spot cargoes.

The executive stated that the real question was where will prices go. "Prices may rise by a multiple and we simply cannot afford it."

The benchmark Asian LNG price rose by as much as 40% on Monday while the benchmark European wholesale gas prices increased between 35% and 40%.

Industry officials say that Pakistan, which imports almost all its LNG from Qatar and plans to increase its domestic natural gas production, will reduce the regasification rate at its terminals.

Delivery delays may help Pakistan. A glut of LNG has forced the local gas extraction companies in Pakistan to reduce their output, and depleted its forex reserves.

(source: Reuters)