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ADES, a Saudi oil driller, expects a 44% increase in earnings despite the Iran War

ADES International Holding, a Saudi Arabian oil drilling group, said that its core earnings in 2026 will?rise?by upto 44%, despite the U.S./Israeli war against Iran, which forced some of the offshore rigs to be suspended. ADES's bullish forecast is based on the company's geographic and scale diversification, as evidenced by its 123 rigs deployed across 20 countries. The war has disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and shaken global markets.

In a press release, Chief Executive Mohamed Farouk stated that "we remain confident in our abilities to navigate the current climate?in an organized manner".

ADES has announced that its EBITDA guidance for 2026 is between 4.5 and 4.87 billion Riyals ($1.2 billion to $1.3 billion), or an increase of up to 44% compared with its upper-end guidance in 2025 of 3.39 billion Riyals.

The company believes that the suspension of "a handful" of offshore rigs within the Gulf Cooperation Council region (GCC), which includes Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Qatar as well as Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait and Bahrain, will only be short-term.

Saudi Aramco, the world's largest oil exporter, has reduced its oil production by 20% at two offshore fields. It also rerouted seven million barrels of crude oil per day to the Red Sea port?Yanbu. Qatar, the UAE and Bahrain have all halted production of liquefied gas. Qatar also cut its oil output. ADES's strong outlook was attributed to a number of factors, including?expected synergies resulting from the acquisition of Norway Shelf Drilling and an increase in utilization, as well as favorable day rates in certain international markets.

Farouk stated that "we have demonstrated resilience over the years through cycles and selectively expanded into attractive markets and delivered on our commitments for the business." He added that the safety of the personnel and assets is the top priority.

(source: Reuters)